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Figure 3.4 Selected winter climate scenarios for Clyde River in Nunavut (70°28'26" N, 68°35'10" W), based on the r1i1p1 member of the RCP8.5 experiment performed with the following global climate models: (a) FIO-ESM (green), (b) MIROC-ESM (orange), and (c) GFDL-CM3 (cyan). Gridded (10×10 km) data from Natural Resources Canada (Hopkinson et al., 2011) are used as observations over 1962–2010 (black line). Climate scenarios over 2011–2035 are obtained by statistically adjusting the simulations with a procedure termed quantile mapping (Grenier et al., 2015). Linear trends over 15-year segments are represented in red when positive and blue when negative. The gray envelope represents the time-smoothed 10th and 90th percentiles for yearly values in an ensemble of 15 RCP8.5-based climate scenarios (comprising the three presented here).

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Publication:

Adaptation Actions for a Changing Arctic: Perspectives from the Baffin Bay/Davis Strait Region

Page number:

45

Type:

Graph

Caption:

Figure 3.4 Selected winter climate scenarios for Clyde River in Nunavut (70°28'26" N, 68°35'10" W), based on the r1i1p1 member of the RCP8.5 experiment performed with the following global climate models: (a) FIO-ESM (green), (b) MIROC-ESM (orange), and (c) GFDL-CM3 (cyan). Gridded (10×10 km) data from Natural Resources Canada (Hopkinson et al., 2011) are used as observations over 1962–2010 (black line). Climate scenarios over 2011–2035 are obtained by statistically adjusting the simulations with a procedure termed quantile mapping (Grenier et al., 2015). Linear trends over 15-year segments are represented in red when positive and blue when negative. The gray envelope represents the time-smoothed 10th and 90th percentiles for yearly values in an ensemble of 15 RCP8.5-based climate scenarios (comprising the three presented here).

Location:

Clyde River, Nunavut, Canada

Copyright:

Arctic Monitoring and Assessment Programme (AMAP)

Cartographer / Designer:

Burnthebook.co.uk